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Proposed RuleOpen for Comment2026-118542026-06-12

Prediction Markets; Public Interest Determinations

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Abstract

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) is proposing amendments to its rules concerning event contract derivatives. The markets for these event contracts are commonly referred to as "prediction markets." In particular, the Commission is proposing amendments to further specify the types of event contracts that may be subject to a determination that they are contrary to the public interest, such that they may not be listed for trading or accepted for clearing on or through a CFTC-registered entity, as provided in the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA). The proposed amendments set out factors the Commission would apply in that determination and conform the process by which the determination would be made to the CEA. The Commission also is proposing amendments to the procedure for the Commission's determination to enhance clarity and organization, as well as a definition of the term "gaming" and a rule regarding when event contracts "involve" an underlying activity.

Action & Dates

Action
Notice of proposed rulemaking.
Dates
Comments must be in writing and received by July 27, 2026.

CFR References

Topics

Commodity futuresReporting and recordkeeping requirements

Public Comment

Comments Close
2026-07-27 — Open for comment

Document Excerpt

Document Headings Document headings vary by document type but may contain the following: the agency or agencies that issued and signed a document the number of the CFR title and the number of each part the document amends, proposes to amend, or is directly related to the agency docket number / agency internal file number the RIN which identifies each regulatory action listed in the Unified Agenda of Federal Regulatory and Deregulatory Actions See the Document Drafting Handbook for more details. Commodity Futures Trading Commission 17 CFR Part 40 RIN 3038-AF65 ( printed page 35806) AGENCY: Commodity Futures Trading Commission. ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking. SUMMARY: The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) is proposing amendments to its rules concerning event contract derivatives. The markets for these event contracts are commonly referred to as “prediction markets.” In particular, the Commission is proposing amendments to further specify the types of event contracts that may be subject to a determination that they are contrary to the public interest, such that they may not be listed for trading or accepted for clearing on or through a CFTC-registered entity, as provided in the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA). The proposed amendments set out factors the Commission would apply in that determination and conform the process by which the determination would be made to the CEA. The Commission also is proposing amendments to the procedure for the Commission's determination to enhance clarity and organization, as well as a definition of the term “gaming” and a rule regarding when event contracts “involve” an underlying activity. DATES: Comments must be in writing and received by July 27, 2026. ADDRESSES: You may submit comments, identified by “Prediction Markets; Public Interest Determinations” and RIN 3038-AF65, by any of the following methods: Regulations.gov: Go to https://www.regulations.gov and p

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Full Document

Citation: 91 FR 35806

Prediction Markets; Public Interest Determinations — Federal Register 2026-11854 | Open Gov by Base